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Forecasting short-term electricity consumption using a semantics-based genetic programming framework: The South Italy case

TitoloForecasting short-term electricity consumption using a semantics-based genetic programming framework: The South Italy case
Tipo di pubblicazioneArticolo su Rivista peer-reviewed
Anno di Pubblicazione2015
AutoriCastelli, M., Vanneschi L., and De Felice Matteo
RivistaEnergy Economics
Volume47
Paginazione37-41
ISSN01409883
Parole chiaveElectric load forecasting, Electricity, Electricity demands, Electricity-consumption, energy use, Energy utilization, Forecasting, Forecasting electricity, forecasting method, genetic algorithm, Genetic algorithms, Genetic programming, Italy, Load forecasting, Programming framework, Real-life applications, Semantics, Short term load forecasting, State-of-the-art methods
Abstract

Accurate and robust short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in electric power operations. This paper proposes a variant of genetic programming, improved by incorporating semantic awareness in algorithm, to address a short term load forecasting problem. The objective is to automatically generate models that could effectively and reliably predict energy consumption. The presented results, obtained considering a particularly interesting case of the South Italy area, show that the proposed approach outperforms state of the art methods. Hence, the proposed approach reveals appropriate for the problem of forecasting electricity consumption. This study, besides providing an important contribution to the energy load forecasting, confirms the suitability of genetic programming improved with semantic methods in addressing complex real-life applications. © 2014 Elsevier B.V.

Note

cited By 5

URLhttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84918536663&doi=10.1016%2fj.eneco.2014.10.009&partnerID=40&md5=0af4af960907a41ab8ff8ff780361750
DOI10.1016/j.eneco.2014.10.009
Citation KeyCastelli201537